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UPDATE  03/26/07

STOCKS:

As long as the lows made on the 14th are in place, the odds favor another move up to new all time highs in the DJIA.

Momentum remains strong and as shown in Barron’s, the daily advance decline indicator has already gone to new highs. This is a longer term positive and the market should eventually follow to new highs later this year.

There is support at 12,350 which should hold for now. The next cycle low due in May could provide a test of the previous lows, or could just be a normal pullback from higher levels. It is still too early to tell if the entire correction is complete from 12,800. A triangle could still form over the next 3-5 weeks, but would still result in a move to all time highs this summer.

As of March 20th, the Institutions had almost liquidated all of their net short positions in the S&P 500, but still hadn’t moved net long.

T BONDS:

The current correction should end this week and the next up leg will take prices towards 118-120. There is support between 111 and 111’20.

GOLD:

April gold is still unable to remain above $ 665 and the commercials continue to hold large net short positions.

I will continue to follow the possible triangle formation in the XAU which would result in one more large advance in this index.

Regards and Good Luck,

Jay Sanderson
TimingStock.com
 

To see Jay's past Market Commentary and other products, please click here www.reliablestockcycles.com

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Commentary Archives

Long term cycle is bullish - 1/06/07

Next Cycle Low is due In March -1/27/07

Market still positive - 2/05/07


Market should top-out beginning of March - 2/25/07

Where is the first resistance level? - 3/5/07

25 Week Cycle due in the next 2 Weeks - 3/12/07

March 14 May be the low - 3/19/07

 


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