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UPDATE  05/21/07

STOCKS:

The trend continues to be higher for the next few months. Although a rapid 300-400 point shake out wouldn’t surprise me. Any pullback should find support at 13,200. I am still looking for one more correction to be followed by another move to all time highs to complete the advance off the March lows.

Cycles will be negative in the fourth quarter of this year, so I would expect a top no later than July/August.

BONDS:

June bonds sold off again and appear headed back to support just above 109. The market is getting oversold and I would view any further weakness as a buying opportunity.

I still favor higher prices and lower yields during the second half of this year.

Patience on the long side should soon be rewarded. The next advance should take bonds to the 119-120 level.

GOLD:

June gold moved and closed below the weekly uptrend suggesting a move back under $ 650. However, a close back above $ 670 could turn the outlook more favorable short term.

The XAU may have completed its multi month triangle pattern at Thursdays low. If so, gold stocks should start moving considerably higher in the coming weeks.

It is looking like bonds and metals stocks may be the best performers in the second half of this year.

 

    Regards and Good Luck,

    Jay Sanderson
    TimingStock.com
 

To see Jay's past Market Commentary and other products, please click here www.reliablestockcycles.com

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Commentary Archives

Long term cycle is bullish - 1/06/07

Next Cycle Low is due In March -1/27/07

Market still positive - 2/05/07


Market should top-out beginning of March - 2/25/07

Where is the first resistance level? - 3/5/07

25 Week Cycle due in the next 2 Weeks- 3/12/07

March 14 May be the low - 3/19/07

Odds for new high this summer - 3/26/07

Market will soon make a decision - 4/1/07

New highs sooner or latter - 4/15/07

Cycle forces are in Gear - 4/22/07

Market may top out in the next six weeks - 4/29/07

More new highs before the top - 5/13/07

 

 

 



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