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UPDATE  05/28/07

STOCKS:

I am expecting another down leg in the Dow to the 13,200 – 250 area to complete the current correction. That would lead to yet another rally to new highs.

Although I am expecting a top this summer, the indicators are not showing any signs of trouble yet. I am watching the Utilities and Transports for peaks prior to the Dows.

A break below 500 in the Utility average would probably indicate that index has topped for the year

The Transports appear to be completing a rising wedge formation. A break out of this to the downside would lead to 4200.

These two indexes may not be joining the Dow on the next move to new highs.

BONDS:

June bonds broke below support at 109, but managed to close back above it.  As stated last week, I view the current correction as a buying opportunity. A solid move above 110 would indicate the correction has ended and higher prices will occur this summer.

Commercials have accumulated very large net long positions which indicate much higher prices and lower rates later this year.
 

GOLD:

I haven’t been real bullish on gold this year due to the inability to move above $ 700 along with the commercial short positions. However, I am still open to one more strong rally to unfold next month and into the summer.

Gold needs to move back above the $665 - $ 670 level soon.

The triangle formation is still alive in the XAU which also supports a rally coming soon.

 

    Regards and Good Luck,

    Jay Sanderson
    TimingStock.com
 

To see Jay's past Market Commentary and other products, please click here www.reliablestockcycles.com

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Commentary Archives

Long term cycle is bullish - 1/06/07

Next Cycle Low is due In March -1/27/07

Market still positive - 2/05/07


Market should top-out beginning of March - 2/25/07

Where is the first resistance level? - 3/5/07

25 Week Cycle due in the next 2 Weeks- 3/12/07

March 14 May be the low - 3/19/07

Odds for new high this summer - 3/26/07

Market will soon make a decision - 4/1/07

New highs sooner or latter - 4/15/07

Cycle forces are in Gear - 4/22/07

Market may top out in the next six weeks - 4/29/07

More new highs before the top - 5/13/07

Not over yet, but expect pull-backs- 5/21/07

 

 

 



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